President Donald Trump already will shatter predictions of his critics by just officially launching his reelection campaign late Tuesday afternoon in Orlando.
Just over one year ago, MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough wrote an op-ed in The Washington Post predicting Trump would not run for reelection. He based his prediction off remarks made by the president he found to be offensive, White House staff turnovers at the time, and speculation over the special counsel investigation into Russia.
“But while the president and his team of misfit lawyers have reason to tread carefully under stormy legal skies, Republicans on Capitol Hill can relax. It’s becoming clear that Trump will not be running for president in 2020,” Scarborough wrote.
“I love this job…”
Scarborough was not the only one to say this. CNN’s S.E. Cupp wrote in November 2018 an opinion piece in The Chicago Sun-Times titled “Four reasons Trump might not run again in 2020.” Cupp reasoned among other issues that Trump’s base was “shrinking” and he was “running out of stooges.”
“The next few months will be bloody and exhausting for all of us, but for the president they might just be too much to take,” she wrote.
Huffington Post columnist Robert Kuttner wrote in August 2018 that not only will Trump not be the Republican nominee but neither will Vice President Mike Pence.
Instead, the 2020 Republican nominee will be a never-Trumper. Kuttner based his prediction on the details about the president the Mueller report could bring out.
“As special counsel Robert Mueller ferrets out more and more detail, a panicky Trump gets crazier and crazier. He will likely do himself in,” Kuttner wrote.
The Washington Post’s Jennifer Rubin imagined in a December 2018 opinion piece what life would be like if Trump decided not to run for reelection.
“However, if we collectively think Trump is in as much trouble as court filings from both the special counsel and the U.S. attorney’s office for the Southern District of New York suggest, it is not unreasonable to consider that he might resign or not run for reelection,” she wrote.
She added, “Likewise, he might insist he’ll be vindicated and run, but lose the nomination (which has never happened, though Lyndon B. Johnson dropped out in 1968) when the GOP sees his polling numbers tank and realizes the depth and breadth of his legal problems.”
By February 2019, Trump brushed off any speculation he would not run for re-election.
“I love this job,” he told The New York Times in an interview, adding he did not expect a challenger in the primary. “I don’t see it,” he said. “I have great support in the party.”
Now, everyone can agree Trump is running for re-election, but his detractors have not stopped making predictions about what he plans to do when it comes to the election.
Presently, there is a belief President Trump will not concede the upcoming election and leave office should he lose. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made this claim to The New York Times last month and Amanda Marcotte at Salon writes, “So what happens when Donald Trump refuses to leave office? The nightmare scenario could happen.”
“Real Time” host Bill Maher predicted to CNN’s Chris Cuomo that Trump wouldn’t leave if he loses the 2020 election.
"If he loses… he won't go. I've been saying that since before he got elected."
"Real Time" host Bill Maher warns @ChrisCuomo that President Trump may not leave the White House is he loses the presidential election in 2020, saying it's something we have to worry about. pic.twitter.com/znTRm3yyO7
— Cuomo Prime Time (@CuomoPrimeTime) June 12, 2019
Democrats made the same claim about Trump in 2016, claiming he would not accept the election results should he lose against Hillary Clinton. By May 2017, Clinton bragged about winning the election’s popular vote and counted herself as part of the “resistance” against the Trump administration.